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ANALISIS FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI CADANGAN DEVISA DI INDONESIA PERIODE 1992 – 2006 March 3, 2009

Posted by linadwi06 in Uncategorized.
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Chandra Budi L.S.,  Dwi Hastuti L.K, Heru Duriat

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

 

ABSTRACT

 

This research aimed to know how about influence of gross domestic product, rate of interest (SBI), consumer price index and foreign direct investment on international reserves in Indonesia during period of 1992 – 2006, and to know the sensitivity level (elasticity) of international reserves on gross domestic product, rate of interest (SBI), consumer price index and foreign direct investment in Indonesia during period of the 1992 – 2006.

Data used in this research was descriptive secondary data or annualy data along fifteen years. Data were taken from Statistical of Economics and Finance Indonesia (SEFI) BI. Method of Research used was Multiple Regression Linear with analysis appliance: correlation analysis (R), coefficient analysis of determinant (R2), and elasticity analysis, while examination taken is test F, test t, test autocorrelation, test of multicolinearity, and heteroscedasticity test by using calculation of program of EViews.

Based on this research to show that 92,66 % of international reserves in Indonesia influenced by gross domestic product, rate of interest (SBI), consumer price index and foreign direct investment while remainder about 7,34 % were influence by other factors.

The influence of gross domestic product, consumer price index and foreign direct investment on international reserves in Indonesia during period of 1992 – 2006 partially is significant. But for the variable of rate of interest (SBI) the influence is not significant to international reserves in Indonesia during period of 1992 – 2006.

Elasticity international reserves to gross domestic product is elastic with relations which are positive. Elasticity international reserves to rate of interest (SBI) is inelastic with relations which are negative. Elasticity international reserves to consumer price index and foreign direct investment is inelastic with relation which is positive.

 

Keyword: gross domestic product,  interest rate (SBI), consumer price index, foreign direct investment

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