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ANALISIS PENGARUH PENETAPAN TINGKAT SUKU BUNGA SERTIFIKAT BANK INDONESIA TERHADAP VARIABEL MAKROEKONOMI (JUMLAH UANG BEREDAR, NILAI TUKAR, PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO DAN INFLASI) DI INDONESIA PERIODE 1990.I-2008.IV December 15, 2009

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ABSTRAK

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh penetapan tingkat suku bunga Sertifikat Bank Indonesia (SBI) terhadap variabel makroekonomi (jumlah uang beredar (M1), nilai tukar (KURS), produk domestik bruto (PDB) dan inflasi (INF)) periode tahun 1990-2008.

Data yang dipergunanakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data kuartalan dari Januari 1990 – Desember 2008 yang bersifat skunder. Data diperoleh dari Statistik Ekonomi dan Keuangan Indonesia (SEKI) Bank Indonesia berbagai terbitan. Metode penelitian yang digunakan penulis adalah metode deskriptif dengan menggunakan model ekonometrika dan diuji oleh beberapa alat analisis regresi. Perhitungan yang digunakan adalah model regresi berganda dengan alat analisis koefisien determinasi (R2) dan pengujian yang dilakukan adalah uji t-statistik, uji autokarelasi (Durbin-Watson). Dimana semua pengujian diatas menggunakan perhitungan program EViews.

Dari hasil penelitian menunjukan bahwa variabel suku bunga Sertifikat Bank Indonesia berpengaruh signifikan terhadap nilai tukar rupiah dan inflasi, sedangkan suku bunga Sertifikat Bank Indonesia berpengaruh tidak signifikan terhadap jumlah uang beredar dan produk domestik bruto. Dari faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi penetapan kebijakan suku bunga Sertifikat Bank Indonesia tersebut ada beberapa variabel yang memiliki hubungan yang positif yaitu jumlah uang beredar, nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dollar Amerika dan inflasi, sementara produk domestik bruto memiliki hubungan yang negatif terhadap suku bunga Sertifikat Bank Indonesia.

Kata kunci : Sertifikat Bank Indonesia, Jumlah Uang Beredar, Nilai Tukar Rupiah Terhadap Dollar Amerika, Produk Domestik Bruto, Inflasi.

isi lengkap jurnal, download link di bawah :

JB K 509 pakai

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ANALISIS FAKTOR – FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI EKSPOR KARET DARI INDONESIA KE AMERIKA SERIKAT PERIODE 1980 – 2008 December 15, 2009

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ABSTRAK

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh harga karet alam dunia, harga karet sintetis, konsumsi karet alam Amerika, konsumsi karet sintetis Amerika, produksi karet alam dalam negeri, nilai tukar rupiah terhadap Dollar Amerika, dan GDP riil Amerika terhadap volume ekspor karet Indonesia pada tahun 1980-2008.

Penelitian ini menggunakan alat analisis regresi log linier dengan metode kuadrat terkecil (OLS). Sedangkan untuk menganalisis pengaruh variabel bebas terhadap variabel terikatnya digunakan model regresi berganda dengan alat analisis koefisien determinasi (R2) dan pengujian secara parsial menggunakan uji t-statistik dan pengujian secara serempak menggunakan uji F-statistik. Selain itu juga dilakukan uji asumsi klasik, dimana semua pengujian di atas menggunakan perhitungan program EViews.

Dari hasil analisis yang dilakukan dapat diambil kesimpulan bahwa secara statistik yang mempengaruhi volume ekspor karet Indonesia ke Amerika adalah harga karet alam dunia, harga karet sintetis, konsumsi karet sintetis Amerika, produksi karet alam dalam negeri dan juga nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dollar Amerika. Sedangkan konsumsi karet alam Amerika dan GDP riil Amerika tidak mempengaruhi volume ekspor karet Indonesia ke Amerika secara nyata.

Kata kunci : harga karet alam dunia, harga karet sintetis, konsumsi karet alam Amerika, konsumsi karet sintetis Amerika, produksi karet alam dalam negeri, nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dollar Amerika, GDP riil Amerika.

jurnal lengkap terdapat link  jbk109 pada box my share disamping

ANALISIS FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI CADANGAN DEVISA DI INDONESIA PERIODE 1992 – 2006 March 3, 2009

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Chandra Budi L.S.,  Dwi Hastuti L.K, Heru Duriat

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

 

ABSTRACT

 

This research aimed to know how about influence of gross domestic product, rate of interest (SBI), consumer price index and foreign direct investment on international reserves in Indonesia during period of 1992 – 2006, and to know the sensitivity level (elasticity) of international reserves on gross domestic product, rate of interest (SBI), consumer price index and foreign direct investment in Indonesia during period of the 1992 – 2006.

Data used in this research was descriptive secondary data or annualy data along fifteen years. Data were taken from Statistical of Economics and Finance Indonesia (SEFI) BI. Method of Research used was Multiple Regression Linear with analysis appliance: correlation analysis (R), coefficient analysis of determinant (R2), and elasticity analysis, while examination taken is test F, test t, test autocorrelation, test of multicolinearity, and heteroscedasticity test by using calculation of program of EViews.

Based on this research to show that 92,66 % of international reserves in Indonesia influenced by gross domestic product, rate of interest (SBI), consumer price index and foreign direct investment while remainder about 7,34 % were influence by other factors.

The influence of gross domestic product, consumer price index and foreign direct investment on international reserves in Indonesia during period of 1992 – 2006 partially is significant. But for the variable of rate of interest (SBI) the influence is not significant to international reserves in Indonesia during period of 1992 – 2006.

Elasticity international reserves to gross domestic product is elastic with relations which are positive. Elasticity international reserves to rate of interest (SBI) is inelastic with relations which are negative. Elasticity international reserves to consumer price index and foreign direct investment is inelastic with relation which is positive.

 

Keyword: gross domestic product,  interest rate (SBI), consumer price index, foreign direct investment

ANALISIS PENGARUH TENAGA KERJA, TINGKAT UPAH DAN INVESTASI PADA USAHA KECIL DAN MENENGAH (UKM) TERHADAP PDRB DI KABUPATEN CIAMIS PERIODE 1995-2005. March 3, 2009

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Dwi Hastuti L.K.,  Nanang Rusliana, Yudin Waliyudin

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

 

ABSTRACT

 

Small and Medium Industry (UKM) is one of the bases for Indonesian economics which has been the most important donator for Indonesian National Income. In this title, the writer took PDRB in Ciamis Regency as the research subject where it’s been influenced by variables of Labor, Wage Level and Investment.

According  to  the  above  mentioned,  therefore  the  writer  made  a  research titled : “The Effect Of Labor, Wage Level And Investment Of Small And Medium Industry (Ukm) On PDRB In Ciamis Regency In 1995-2005 Period.” The objective of this research is to analyze the link among the variables of Labor, Wage Level and Investment of UKM on PDRB in Ciamis Regency.

The research method used by the writer is the descriptive method by using econometrics model and has been checked with several regression analysis aparatus. The statistical calculation uses determination coefficiency formulation, test t, test f, autocorrelation test (Durbin-Watson), and Multicolinearity Test by using additional calculation tool Eviews 3.0 for Windows.

The result of this study shows that the reality occurs in Ciamis Regency during the period of research is that PDRB is very much influenced by variables of Labor, Wage Level and Investment with the amount of percentage 92,3676%. The result of t statistic test shows that, partially, Wage Level and Investment have positive and significant effect while Labor has positive effect but unsignificant on PDRB in Ciamis Regency during the period of 1995-2005. There has been no trouble at all in the model used by the writer, it is noticed in the Muticolinearity test.

 

Keyword: labor, wage level, investment, regional gross domestic product

ANALISIS PENGARUH INDEKS HARGA SAHAM GABUNGAN (IHSG) DAN TINGKAT SUKU BUNGA SERTIFIKAT BANK INDONESIA (SBI) TERHADAP PENANAMAN MODAL DALAM NEGERI (PMDN) March 3, 2009

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Encang Kadarisman, Dwi Hastuti L. K., Aries Harmoko

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

 

ABSTRACT

 

This research aim to get clear description about the target and problems which wish to be reached in this research that is : to know the influence of Price Index Share Alliance (IHSG) to the Cultivation of Domestic Capital (PMDN) in the capital market of Jakarta Effect Exchange (BEJ) and to know the influence of Price Index Share Alliance (IHSG) and Rate of Interest Level Certificate Indonesia Bank (SBI) to the Cultivation of Domestic Capital (PMDN).

To obtain the needed data during research, writer use model of multiple regression. Multiple regression used to predict if the rate of interest level of SBI and IHSG the at a time influence Cultivation of Domestic Capital (PMDN) in capital market. The data which is used in this research is data in 2000 quarterly I until 2004 quarterly IV.

Result of the research indicate that there is influence which is significant between Price Index Share Alliance (IHSG) to Cultivation of Domestic Capital (PMDN) in the capital market of Jakarta Effect Exchange (BEJ) with coefficient correlation addition of IHSG equal to 1% hence will result the make-up of PMDN in BEJ equal to Rp. 35.526,99 billion.

There are significant influence between Price Index Share Alliance (IHSG) and Rate of Interest Level Certificate Bank of Indonesia (SBI) to Cultivation of Domestic Capital (PMDN) in the capital market of Jakarta Effect Exchange (BEJ) equal to 75%, while the influence level of other sector outside X equal to 24,1% is influenced by other factor.

 

Keyword: Cultivation of Domestic Capital, Price Index Share Alliance (IHSG), Rate of Interest Level Certificate Indonesia Bank (SBI), Cultivation of Domestic Capital (PMDN).

ANALISIS PENGARUH LAJU PERTUMBUHAN INVESTASI ASING LANGSUNG DAN UTANG LUAR NEGERI TERHADAP LAJU PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA PERIODE TAHUN 1997.I – 2006.IV March 3, 2009

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Ade Komaludin, Dwi Hastuti L.K., Abdul Jalil

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

 

 

ABSTRACT

 

This research aimed to know the influence level of Foreign Direct Investment, Government Foreign Debt and Private Foreign Debt to Accelerate Economic Growth in Indonesia during period of 1997.I – 2006.IV., and also to know sensitivity level (elasticity) Accelerate Economic Growth to Economic Growth in Indonesia  during period 1997.I – 2006.IV.

Data utilized in this research is time sequence data or quarterly data during 10 year having the character of secondary. Data obtained from Statistik Ekonomi dan Keuangan Indonesia (SEKI) BI. Method research used is model of Multiple Regression Linear with analyzer: correlation analysis (R), coefficient determination analysis (R2), and elasticity analysis, while examination taken is  F  test,  t  Test, autocorrelation Test, multicolinearity Test, and heteroscedasticity Test by using calculation program eviews.

From this research result shown that 47,3007 % accelerating the economic growth in Indonesia being influenced by Foreign Direct Investment, Government Foreign Debt and Private Foreign Debt while the rest 52,6993 % influenced by other factor.

Government Foreign Debt and Private Foreign Debt in Indonesia period 1997.I – 2006.IV. in partial is significant. But for the Foreign Direct Investment variable in partial the influence not significant to value accelerate economic growth in Indonesia period 1997.I – 2006.IV.

Elasticity accelerate economic growth to Foreign Direct Investment, inelastic with relation of direction are positive while Government Foreign Debt and Private Foreign Debt is inelastic with negative relation direction.

 

Keyword: Foreign Direct Investment, Government Foreign Debtm Private Foreign Debt,Economic Growth

ANALISIS KEPEKAAN EKSPOR MIGAS DAN NON MIGAS TERHADAP VARIABEL MAKRO EKONOMI INDONESIA PERIODE 1994-2005 March 3, 2009

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Ade Komaludin, Dwi Hastuti L.K., Pipih Sulistiawati

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

ABSTRACT

 

Export is a process of economical and commercial relationship between countries or internationally by selling goods and service aimed to gain profits. In this research, Oil Export and Non Oil Export variables are used as dependent variables while the Macro economy variables affecting them (Gross Domestic Product/PDB, SBI Interest, Customer Price Index/IHK and Exchange Rate) are used as independent variables.

According to the above mentioned, a research has been conducted with a title: “The Comparative Analysis of The Sensitivity of Oil and Non Oil Exports towards Indonesia’s Macro Economy Variables in The Period 1994-2005.” The purpose of the research is to analyze the connection among several macro economy variables (Gross Domestic Product/PDB, SBI Interest, Customer Price Index/IHK and Exchange Rate) on the oil and non oil export demand in Indonesia.

The research method used by the author is descriptive method using econometrics model and tested by some regression analysis means. The statistics calculation uses determination coefficient formulation, t test, F test, autocorrelation test (Durbin-Watson) using the subsidiary calculation means of Eviews 3.0 for Windows.

The result of this study showed that the reality occurred in Indonesia during the research period was that Oil and Non Oil export demand was extremely influenced by several macro economy variables. The result of statistical t test showed that, partially, Gross Domestic Product/PDB, SBI Interest, Customer Price Index/IHK and Exchange Rate was significantly influential towards Oil and Non Oil Export demand in Indonesia. The result of comparative analysis for Oil and Non Oil Export demand concluded the followings: Non Oil Export has better result than Oil Export. However, the mean growth percentage of Non Oil Export tends to be slower compared to that of Oil Export annually, while Oil Export has smaller volume than Non Oil Export, yet the growth percentage of Oil Export is much bigger and relatively constant year by year.

 

Keyword: Oil Export, Non Oil Export,Gross Domestic Product, SBI Interest, Customer Price Index/IHK, Exchange

ANALISIS FAKTOR PRODUKSI MODAL DAN TENAGA KERJA TERHADAP NILAI PRODUKSI March 3, 2009

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Dwi Hastuti L.K, Andi Rustandi, Fita Asri Artika

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

 

 

ABSTRACT

 

The aims of the research are a) to find out the influence of the capital and the workers on the production value at a paving block industry located in Cisayong district in 1994-2005, b) to find elasticity level of production value on the capital and the workers at a paving block industry located in Cisayong district in 1994-2005.

The research method used is descriptive method, and the data used is secondary data (time series), while the tools used to analyse the data are R2-test, t-test, F-test. And for the validity test are autocorrelation-test, heteroscedastic and multicolinierity-test.

The analysis result shows that 1) simultaneously tested i.e. the capital and the workers have a significant influence on the production value of paving block in Cisayong district in 1994-1995, 2) Based on the calculation result it can be concluded that the level of the elasticity of production value on the capital is 0.25 and the variable influence is inelastic, whereas the workers also have inelastic with  the elasticity value 0.58 on the production value.

 

Keyword: capital, workers, production value

ANALISIS FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PENDAPATAN PAJAK HOTEL DI KABUPATEN KUNINGAN PERIODE 2003.I-2006.II. March 3, 2009

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Chandra Budi L.S., Dwi Hastuti L.K., Edy Purnomo

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

 

 

ABSTRACT

 

This Research aim to 1) Knowing the level of influence is amount of tourist visit to earnings of tax hotel in Kuningan Regency at Period 2003.I-2006.II 2) Knowing the level of influence amount of hotel room dwelling to earnings of tax hotel in Kuningan Regency at Period 2003.I-2006.II 3) Knowing the level of influence of earnings from amount of sold room to earnings of tax hotel in Kuningan Regency at Period 2003.I-2006.II 4) Knowing the level of influence amount of tourist visit, amount of hotel room dwelling, and earnings from amount of sold room to earnings of tax hotel in Kuningan Regency at Period 2003.I-2006.II

In this research, the writer use model of Y = a + b1 log X1 + b2 log X2 + b3 log X3 + e using R2 to know the level of influence of free variable to variable tied to use test of t-statistic test and of F-Statistic.

From result of research, in the reality the level of influence of[is amount of tourist visit, amount of hotel room dwelling and acceptance of hotel of value sell room to earnings of tax hotel in Kuningan Regency at Period 2003.I-2006.II by together is equal to 39%, while the rest equal to 61% representing influence of other factor. With examination of t-statistic in the reality influence is amount of tourist visit to earnings of tax hotel in Kuningan Regency at Period 2003.I-2006.II. is not significance, while influence is amount of room dwelling to earnings of tax hotel in Kuningan Regency at Period 2003.I-2006.II, and influence of acceptance of hotel of value sell room to earnings of tax hotel in Kuningan Regency at Period 2003.I-2006.II is significance.

 

Keyword: amount of tourist visit, amount of hotel room dwelling, earnings from amount of sold room, earnings of tax hotel

Hello world! February 9, 2009

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